Fossil Fuels are Making Life More Expensive

Canadians are paying billions of dollars in extra costs because of fossil fuels

False Profits is an initiative by the Centre for Future Work that documents how fossil fuel prices and profits are making life more expensive.

False Profits produces credible research showing how fossil fuel prices and profits have caused inflation, undermined affordability, and reduced living standards for Canadians. With evidence-based analysis, False Profits exposes how oil and gas corporations have profited at the expense of consumers and workers: driving up costs while reaping record-breaking profits.

Oil and gas industry advertising claims fossil fuels are essential for affordable living. In fact, fossil fuels have caused inflation, exploited consumers and workers, and made life more expensive.

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The Reports

Our first report, Counting the Costs, documents how the spike in world oil prices in 2022 (caused mostly by financial speculation on global futures markets) was the main factor causing the subsequent surge in inflation in Canada (and elsewhere). That oil price spike cost Canadians almost $200 billion over the next three years — $12,000 per household.

False Profits research provides a dollars-and-sense breakdown of the real cost of the oil and gas industry in Canada. Its research exposes how the industry inflates prices, manipulates markets, and profits off Canadian consumers and workers. Get the facts about how fossil fuels undermine living standards and worsen inequality.

Read the reports
KNOW THE FACTS

Numbers don't lie.

Have you ever wondered how oil and gas prices impact your pocketbook or the greater economy? False Profits crunched the numbers — and broke down the economic myths — so you don’t have to.

You may think
Oil prices are determined by anonymous market forces, reflecting real changes in supply and demand.
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The Truth
Oil prices are set on speculative ‘futures markets’ where paper barrels trade hands many times among financial gamblers rather than real businesses.

In 2022, oil prices spiked to $130 U.S./barrel, not due to shortages, but because traders profited from fear and uncertainty after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Global oil supply grew, and Canada’s oil output reached record levels, yet consumer prices soared.
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You may think
Inflation caused oil prices to rise.
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The Truth
The spike in fossil fuel prices was the biggest single factor in the surge in Canada’s inflation — not the other way around — which peaked at 8% in June 2022.

Just the direct impact of fossil fuels alone caused 43% of the increase in consumer prices from January 2021 to June 2022.

The indirect impact (felt through energy cost inputs to other goods and services) added even more.
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You may think
Rising oil prices only impact us at the gas pump or on our heating bills.
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The Truth
The surge in oil prices had a ripple effect on our economy. 

Businesses had to pay more for fossil fuels, passing higher costs on to consumers.

The Bank of Canada hiked interest rates to help curb inflation, largely driven by fossil fuel prices, costing Canadians an extra $65 billion in interest from 2022–2024.

Higher interest rates slowed the economy, resulting in job losses and lost employment income.
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You may think
A few extra dollars per oil barrel can’t make that big of a difference for consumers and businesses.
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The Truth
Compared to pre-pandemic (2019) price levels, Canadian consumers directly paid $61 billion extra for fossil fuels between 2022 through 2024.

Canadian businesses also felt the pinch, paying an additional $107 billion for fossil fuel inputs from 2022 through 2024.
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You may think
Fossil fuel price increases merely reflect higher costs of producing oil and gas.
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The Truth
Operating costs did not cause the spike in oil prices in 2022, neither in Canada nor globally. The Canadian petroleum industry captured record profits from the 2022 price spike. Industry profits grew by $151 billion from 2022 through 2024, compared to pre-pandemic (2019) levels.
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You may think
Fossil fuels like oil and gas are essential to 'affordability' in Canada.
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The Truth
Soaring fossil fuel prices were the biggest single cause of unaffordability since the pandemic.

Putting it altogether — direct consumer costs, indirect business costs, extra interest costs, and lost employment income — the fossil fuel price spike cost Canadians almost $200 billion in cumulative losses between 2022 and 2024.

That’s a loss of $12,000 per household in Canada.
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